hometelecom NewsGovernment says 5G rollout will start in September — but will it?

Government says 5G rollout will start in September — but will it?

Telecom service providers, such as Reliance Jio, Bharti Airtel, and Vodafone Idea, have been running their own 5G trials for the past couple of years with encouraging results. But results in a controlled test environment can wildly differ from real-time rollout.

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By Vijay Anand  Jul 27, 2022 8:39:43 PM IST (Updated)

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The much-hyped and awaited mega 5G spectrum auction is under way. The spectrum will be allocated by August 14, according to Telecom Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw, with a planned rollout by September.

Telecom service providers, such as Reliance Jio, Airtel and Vodafone Idea, have been running their own 5G trials for the past couple of years with encouraging results. But results in a controlled test environment can wildly differ from real-time rollout.
One question is on everyone's minds — will 5G truly be able to usher in the next generation of internet connectivity, or will it be simply 4.5G, which is to say, a slight improvement over the existing 4G speeds we experience in India?
Huzefa Motiwala, Director – Systems Engineering for India & SAARC, Palo Alto Networks, quoting a PwC report, says 5G’s projected economic impact will amount to US$42bn for the Indian economy by 2030. "With industries moving toward 5G-powered automation and hyperscale, a wide range of use cases such as IoT, smart cities, smart grids, and smart factories will emerge to deliver large-scale advancement for enterprises and individuals," Motiwala said.
Last November, Airtel — in partnership with Nokia — had conducted what it claims was India's first 5G trial in the low-frequency 700 MHz band in Kolkata. During the trial, Airtel and Nokia claimed they were able to achieve high speeds (though they did not say how much) within a 40km coverage radius. In a later test in Hyderabad, the service provider achieved a speed of 3 Gbps.
Vodafone Idea, meanwhile, said it had achieved a speed of 6 Gbps during trials held in Pune this May, in the high-frequency millimetre wave (mmWave) and the mid-frequency bands. Vodafone Idea used equipment provided by Ericsson. Reliance Jio too had achieved a download speed of 420 Mbps and an upload speed of 412 Mbps using its own equipment.
But one has to bear in mind these speeds could drop drastically once the network takes on subscriber load, which will impact latency and coverage.
That said, will the Indian government be able to roll out 5G by September as is its current plan? Some say it is possible, while others say it is ambitious, with a year-end rollout being the more likely scenario.
Ericsson, which is one of the leading makers of telecommunications equipment and a major player in India, feels the infrastructure is ready and telecom service providers can hit the ground running as soon as they are allocated the spectrum.
"With global technology leadership of more than 121 live 5G networks, Ericsson is well poised to support Indian telecom operators in their journey towards 5G," a confident Ericsson told CNBC-TV18.
However, Rishi Bhatnagar, Chairman of the IET Future Tech Panel — a private platform for engineering stakeholders — and President of Aeris Communications, an end-to-end Internet of Things company, said a more realistic window for rollout would be the the end of the year.
"All telecom operators and equipment manufacturers have together done pilots all over India. Hence ,in a way, the backend infrastructure is mostly ready, but the stress testing of the same is still pending. Hence, it is doubtful if (telecom operators) can absolutely hit the ground running right away ... the transition time is expected to be within 4-5 months," Bhatnagar said.
Others too expressed reservations about whether 5G services can be rolled out in two months. It must be noted here that the 5G rollout will initially be limited to just 13 major cities in India. "India is a vast country, and large swathes don't even have access to 3G, let alone 4G or 5G. It will remain a challenge to roll out services so swiftly," one industry watcher said, on the condition of anonymity.
According to media reports, Airtel too expects a moderate rollout of 5G services, but not because of equipment — which the carrier says it has enough of — but because of the low 5G smartphone userbase in India, which stood at 4 percent last fiscal and is expected to grow to 14-16 percent by the 2023-24 financial year.
Jio too said it is ready, stating that "5G coverage planning has been completed for 1,000 top cities across the country", and adding that it has been conducting trials "on advanced use cases across healthcare and industrial automation".
Disclaimer: Network18, the parent company of CNBCTV18.com, is controlled by Independent Media Trust, of which Reliance Industries is the sole beneficiary.

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