The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is on course for a hattrick of terms in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections 2024, according to the mega News18 Opinion Poll results on Thursday.
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The survey projects the BJP-led NDA to win 411 Lok Sabha seats—well over the 400 target Prime Minister Narendra Modi has set for the ruling alliance with the slogan, "Abki baar 400 paar." The last time a party in the country won more than 400 seats was in 1984, when the Congress Party bagged 411 seats out of 542 at stake. The NDA vote share is expected to be at 48% in the upcoming General Elections, as per the poll.
News18 opinion poll results for the upcoming lok sabha election 2024With a 32% vote share, the Congress-led I.N.D.I.A. alliance is predicted to win 105 seats, better than the 91 seats it won in its previous avatar as the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) in 2019. Other parties are expected to win 27 seats, as per the opinion poll.
Within alliances, the BJP is set to improve its tally to 350 seats, while the other NDA partners will contribute 61 seats, as per the poll. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP won 303 seats, while the NDA total was 353.
The Congress will win 49 seats in the upcoming Lok Sabha polls, lower than its 2019 tally of 52 seats. Other I.N.D.I.A. alliance members will chip in with 56 seats.
The opinion poll predicts that the BJP-led NDA will sweep the Hindi heartland and Karnataka. It will also see a sharp rise in numbers in Odisha, West Bengal, Telangana, and Andhra Pradesh, as per the results.
Not just that, the NDA is expected to surprise in Tamil Nadu and Kerala, the two states where it is working overtime to make its presence felt. On the other hand, the highest number of seats the I.N.D.I.A alliance is going to garner is from West Bengal and Tamil Nadu—two states where strong regional parties exist in the form of Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress and the DMK.
An extensive survey covering 518 Lok Sabha constituencies across 21 major states, the News18 opinion poll features a massive sample size of over 1,18,616 respondents, representing 95% of Lok Sabha constituencies and making it one of the largest surveys in the country. The News18 Mega Opinion Poll was conducted by News18 Poll Hub.
First Published: Mar 14, 2024 10:03 PM IST
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