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Samvat 2077: MOSL lists top 10 picks which can give up to 42% upside in 12 months

SUMMARY

Equity markets had a historical journey in Samvat 2076, as it marked a year of huge volatility, unpredictability, pessimism, divergence, and optimism. The Nifty touched an all-time high of 12,431 in January 2020 and then hit 3 year low of 7,511 in March 2020 as the COVID-19 pandemic gripped the whole world economy. As we enter Samvat 2077, the markets have seen a complete recovery from the COVID lows, in-line with the improving data points and positive corporate commentary, said Motilal Oswal in a report. It expects Nifty EPS growth of 4 percent in FY21 while expecting a sharp rebound in FY22. From the next 12 months' perspective, it is positive on IT, Healthcare, Rural-Agri, Telecom, Consumer along with select financials. Here are MOSL's top picks for Samvat 2077.

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By Pranati Deva  Nov 11, 2020 3:32:59 PM IST (Published)

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Bharti Airtel:
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Bharti Airtel: Bharti’s execution has been top-notch in the last few quarters, evident from a strong 16 percent India Mobile EBITDA growth cumulatively in the last two quarters, said the brokerage. Robust 10 million subscribers additions lead to cumulative ARPU improvement of 5 percent, it added. It expects a 42 percent upside in the next 12 months.

SBI economists propose 'Adopt-A-Family' scheme with tax incentives to help BPL families
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State Bank of India: The brokerage sees a 37 percent upside for the public sector lender in the next 12 months. MOSL believes the earnings normalisation cycle for the SBI has begun and it remains the best play among the PSU banks, on gradual recovery in the Indian economy, robust capitalisation, a strong liability franchise, and improved core operating profitability.

CNBCTV18
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Hero MotoCorp: As per the brokerage, the stock is poised for faster recovery over other two-wheeler peers due to its rural-focused portfolio and market leadership in the entry and executive segments. Considering its improved competitive positioning post-BS-6, the firm should continue to see good demand with its economy-executive focused portfolio, it added. MOSL sees a 26 percent upside in the stock in the next 12 months.

Infosys
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Infosys: The brokerage expects the firm to rise by 26 percent by the next Samvat. MOSL believes Infosys to be a key beneficiary in terms of recovery in IT spends in FY22. Infosys remains its top pick within the sector given its headroom for margin expansion and strong deal wins.

UltraTech Cement
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UltraTech Cement: As per the brokerage, the company has a strong pan-India distribution network and preferred supplier status for key infrastructure projects. This places it in a good position to tap into expected growth in both retail and institutional (non-trade) cement demand in India, it further noted. It sees the stock rising 21 percent in the next 1 year.

The valuation of ICICI Bank rose Rs 1,978.04 crore to Rs 3,45,455.10 crore.
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ICICI Bank: The private sector lender continues to see strong growth in retail deposits and has succeeded in building a robust liability franchise over the past few years which continues to improve, the brokerage stated. It added that business trends are improving, with disbursement reaching pre-COVID/higher than pre-COVID levels (in some segments). It expects a 20 percent upside from the stock in the next 12 months.

crompton greeves
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Crompton Consumer: According to MOSL, Crompton has further consolidated its position in the fans and pumps market, and has become the number 2 player in the Water heaters segment. Despite the strong element of pent-up demand playing out recently, it believes underlying demand to be in positive territory, which should sustain/improve going forward. It expects the stock to gain 17 percent in the next 12 months.

Dabur India
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Dabur India: Dabur’s investment case is strong, supported by (a) dedicated focus on the Herbal segment, (b) power brand strategy, (c) a spate of new launches, (d) an increasing direct distribution reach, and (e) cost savings which would be plowed back into the business, the brokerage explained. It sees a 15 percent upside in the stock in the next 12 months.

stocks
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PI Industries: MOSL believes PI has levers in place to sustain the growth momentum, led by (a) ramp-up in operations of two multi-purpose plants, (b) revenue from the Isagro acquisition, (c) sustained growth momentum in the CSM business, and (d) product launches in the domestic market providing earnings visibility.

paracetamol medicines drugs pharma pharceuticals
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Divi's Labs: The brokerage is positive on the stock given favorable demand for APIs, margin enhancement owing to an increase in the in-house manufacturing of intermediates and additional revenue from the new CAPEX. MOSL sees a 10 percent upside in the stock in 1 year.

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