homemarket NewsTata Chemicals shares up nearly 35% in six sessions; Here's the key reason behind its surge

Tata Chemicals shares up nearly 35% in six sessions; Here's the key reason behind its surge

Shares of Tata Chemicals were underperformers in the first two months of 2024, declining 7% and 9% respectively, which Spark Capital attributes to the commodity nature of Soda Ash and industry-wide headwinds faced due to falling realisations.

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By Hormaz Fatakia  Mar 7, 2024 10:10:49 AM IST (Published)

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Shares of Tata Chemicals are up for the sixth day in a row on Thursday. The six day rally has seen the stock gain nearly 40%. Shares are up another 7% on Thursday as well.

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The recent rally has come on the back of a Spark Capital note on March 4, which mentioned that Tata Sons, the parent company of the Tata Group, could list within the next 18 months. This is because the Reserve Bank of India classified the company as an upper layer NBFC.
As per the RBI mandate, an upper-layer NBFC has to list within three years of being notified. Tata Sons was classified in September 2022, which means it will have to list by September 2025.
But why are shares of Tata Chemicals rallying due to a potential listing of Tata Sons?
As per the Spark Capital note released earlier this week, four Tata Group companies - Tata Motors, Tata Chemicals, Tata Power and Indian Hotels have ownership in Tata Sons. However, the only realistic way to get exposure to this potential value unlocking opportunity is via Tata Chemicals.
Why is that so?
Tata Sons' ownership in Tata Chemicals amounts to nearly 80% of the company's overall market capitalisation, while for the other three companies, that figure lies between 16% to 21%, according to Spark Capital.
Shares of Tata Chemicals were underperformers in the first two months of 2024, declining 7% and 9% respectively, which Spark Capital attributes to the commodity nature of Soda Ash and industry-wide headwinds faced due to falling realisations.
However, in case the street assigns a valuation between ₹10 lakh crore to ₹11 lakh crore for Tata Sons, the intrinsic valuation of Tata Chemicals should re-rate should that investment be liquidated at or post the IPO.
Post the recent surge, Tata Chemicals is trading at a financial year 2025 price to earnings multiple of 29.39 times, which is well above its five-year average of 12.3 times. In comparison, peers like SRF and Gujarat Fluorochemicals are trading at a higher valuation compared to Tata Chemicals.
Shares of Tata Chemicals are trading another 8% higher at ₹1,271.35.

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