homemarket Newsstocks NewsTrade setup for March 14: Can Nifty test key hurdle at 16,800 soon? From market cues to technical signals to key levels to track

Trade setup for March 14: Can Nifty test key hurdle at 16,800 soon? From market cues to technical signals to key levels to track

Trade setup for Monday, March 14: The Nifty50 remains in a short-term uptrend but a dip from the highs can't be ruled out for now, say experts. Here's what the technical charts suggest for the coming session.

Profile image

By Sandeep Singh  Mar 14, 2022 7:53:38 AM IST (Updated)

Listen to the Article(6 Minutes)
Trade setup for March 14: Can Nifty test key hurdle at 16,800 soon? From market cues to technical signals to key levels to track

Share Market Live

View All
Indian equity benchmarks managed to extend gains to a fourth straight session on Friday but lost steam, as advances in pharma and select financial stocks were countered by declines in auto stocks. Globally, newsflow on the Russia-Ukraine war remained on investors' radar.

What do the charts suggest for Dalal Street now?
The Nifty50 has formed a small positive candle at the highs on the daily chart, reflecting rangebound action in the market, according to Nagaraj Shetti, Technical Research Analyst at HDFC Securities.
"This cooling off of the short-term trend was due after a sharp upmove of around 1,000 points in the previous three sessions. Further consolidation with high volatility is expected given the index is near crucial overhead resistance at 16,800-170,00 levels," he said.
(ALSO READ
Nifty faces a key hurdle
"The market appears to have all the ingredients in place for confirming a bottom, but further confirmation is awaited given the war scenario... We have already changed our stance in the last couple of sessions," Sameet Chavan, Chief Analyst-Technical and Derivatives at Angel One, told CNBCTV18.com.
"A key hurdle remains at 16,750-16,800, any sustainable move above which will confirm Tuesday’s low (15,671.5) as a bottom. On the other hand, 16,450 followed by 16,200 are immediate supports," he said.
Here are key things to know about the market before the March 14 session:
SGX Nifty
At 7:41 am on Monday, Singapore Exchange (SGX) Nifty futures -- an early indicator of the Nifty index -- were down 66 points or 0.4 percent at 16,583.5, having dropped as much as 94.5 points earlier in the day.
Global markets
Equities in other Asian markets gave up initial gains and crude oil cooled off though investors remained cautious on Russia-Ukraine talks. MSCI's broadest index of Asia Pacific shares outside Japan was down 1.3 percent in early hours.
Japan's Nikkei was up 0.9 percent, but Hong Kong's Hang Seng down 2.7 percent and China's Shanghai Composite down 0.7 percent. South Korea's KOSPI was down 0.8 percent and Singapore's Straits Times 0.2 percent.
S&P 500 futures, however, were up 0.4 percent. On Friday, the three main Wall Street indices dropped 0.7-2.2 percent dragged by tech and growth shares amid Russia-Ukraine concerns.

What to expect on Dalal Street

Despite having bounced back from 15,700 to form a long bullish candle on the weekly chart in a broadly positive sign, the index is still below its 20-day simple moving average and maintains a lower top formation on the daily timeframe, said Amol Athawale, Deputy Vice President-Technical Research at Kotak Securities.
He is of the view that the Nifty50 has completed one leg of a pullback rally but market texture suggests the strong possibility of rangebound activity in the near future. Athawale expects the uptrend formation to continue unless the index slips below 16,300.
HDFC Securities' Shetti believes the short-term uptrend is intact but expects high volatility. "Weakness from the highs can't be ruled out in Monday's session. Immediate support to be watched is at 16,450," he said.
Levels to watch out for
Mohit Nigam, Head-PMS at HEM Securities pointed out the following levels:
IndexSupportResistance
Nifty5016,30016,800
Nifty Bank33,80035,500
FII/DII activity
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) net sold Indian equities worth Rs
2,263.9 crore on Friday, according to provisional exchange data. However, domestic institutional investors (DIIs) made net purchases to the tune of Rs 1,686.9 crore.
Call/put open interest
Exchange data shows the maximum call open interest is accumulated at the strike price of 17,500, with more than 87,800 contracts, and the next highest at 17,000, with about 79,450 contracts. The maximum put open interest at 16,000, with almost 70,600 contracts.
This suggests the Nifty is approaching major resistance at 17,000, and has meaningful support some 630 odd points away at 16,000.
Long build-up
Here are four stocks that saw an increase in open interest as well as price:
SymbolCurrent OICMPPrice change (%)OI change (%)
Vodafone Idea5,83,80,00010.50.96%4.25%
SAIL88,54,00099.50.15%24.35%
Balrampur Chini87,98,400490.559.04%20.28%
Cipla1,01,60,1501,048.005.78%15.63%
Long unwinding
SymbolCurrent OICMPPrice change (%)OI change (%)
Hindalco3,17,66,250590.5-0.95%-3.25%
Adani Ports8,11,83,750729.6-0.21%-0.67%
Ashok Leyland1,41,68,0001,728.95-0.08%-3.01%
Infosys4,21,47,000106.2-0.79%-0.93%
Adani Enterprises3,25,00,2001,831.05-0.09%-1.04%
(Decrease in open interest as well as price)
Short-covering
SymbolCurrent OICMPPrice change (%)OI change (%)
ITC11,12,41,600235.81.55%-2.21%
PNB15,90,72,00036.451.39%-1.32%
GAIL2,91,33,600149.353.04%-5.72%
(Increase in price and decrease in open interest)
Short build-up
SymbolCurrent OICMPPrice change (%)OI change (%)
Manappuram2,43,12,000117.5-3.17%4.11%
Tata Motors7,34,70,150420.05-0.18%2.96%
(Increase in open interest and decrease in price)
52-week highs
Six stocks in the BSE 500 universe hit 52-week highs: Sun Pharma, Cipla, Balrampur Chini, GNFC, GHCL and Narayana Hrudayalaya.
52-week lows
One stock on the index hit a 52-week low: Procter & Gamble Health.
Fear gauge
The India VIX -- also known as the fear index -- eased 0.9 percent to settle at 25.4 on Friday. Last month, Russia's move to invade Ukraine had sent the index soaring to a 20-month high of almost 34.

Most Read

Share Market Live

View All
Top GainersTop Losers
CurrencyCommodities
CurrencyPriceChange%Change