A close 90% rally since January this year has taken the market valuation of NTPC to a new high. On Tuesday, the state-owned power generator saw its market capitalisation surge past ₹3 lakh crore for the first time.
At present, there are only three public sector undertakings (PSUs) with over three lakh crore market capitalisation. While the country's largest lender—State Bank of India—tops the list with ₹5.87 lakh crore, insurance giant Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) ranks second with ₹5.05 lakh crore.
However, ONGC, which boasted a market capitalisation of nearly ₹4 lakh crore in June 2014, has seen its valuation come off since then. As of Tuesday, the market valuation of ONGC stood at ₹2.52 lakh crore.
TOP PSUs by market cap | Mcap (₹ lakh crore) |
SBI | 5.87 |
LIC of India | 5.05 |
NTPC | 3.02 |
ONGC | 2.52 |
Coal India | 2.18 |
Power Grid | 2.17 |
In fact, utilities stocks have been on a surge propelled by sustained strong demand in the past three months. The power demand in November rose 9% year-on-year (YoY) on a higher base reported in the same month last year.
Further, industry players believe that the peak power shortages are here to stay for at least another 18–24 months, with the possibility of extending to 3–4 years.
According to global brokerage firm Jefferies, return discipline is important for capacity addition to translate to growth. The foreign brokerage believes that the current backdrop increases the probability of regulated return on equity (ROE) being stable, or 50 basis points (bps) change at most. It further believes that state-owned players like NTPC and Power Grid are better placed in a regulated business.
“On competitive bidding, given access to the lowest rates, they are in a better position to generate profitable growth,” wrote Jefferies in an investor note.
Among utility stocks, NTPC trades at a cheap valuation on a price-to-book basis. While NTPC is available at 1.8 times its FY25 book value, Power Grid commands 2.3x, whereas Tata Power trades at three times its FY25 book value.
(Edited by : Ajay Vaishnav)
First Published: Dec 19, 2023 2:56 PM IST
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