May was the eighth month in a row of foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) being net sellers of Indian shares, according to provisional exchange data. The net FPI outflow — the difference between the value of shares sold and that of shares bought — came in at Rs 54,292.5 crore, the highest for a month since March 2020 — when India first imposed the full lockdown to curb the spread of the pandemic.
Sustained selling by FPIs has been one of the main reasons behind Indian equity benchmarks' pause in a near one-sided liquidity driven rally to record highs. They have been net sellers since October 2021, when the Sensex and Nifty clocked the last of a series of record highs.
Domestic institutional investors (DIIs), however, have been net purchasing domestic stocks in some relief for investors.
In May, the net DII inflow stood at Rs 50,835.5 crore, according to the data. In other words, domestic institutions have saved the market from deeper cuts.
“It's not that DIIs are doing something which is very unusual. It's just that we are continuously getting inflows. There has been a lot of domestic retail interest that is still continuing. As long as the money is coming in, which is for long term and based on asset allocation, I don't think there is a problem. And we are deploying that on a gradual basis," Harsha Upadhyaya, CIO-Equity at Kotak Mutual Fund, told CNBC-TV18.
The correction in the Indian market comes at a time when the RBI and other major central banks around the globe have lined up aggressive hikes in pandemic-era interest rates to tackle inflation.
MK Ventures Founder Madhu Kela told CNBC-TV18 that the foreign institutional investor (FII) outflow in his view is not necessarily an India-specific problem and part of a global meltdown.
"However, while there has been such a significant outflow from the secondary market, FIIs have put roughly Rs 1 lakh crore in the primary markets, which is in the offerings that have happened in the same time... Given there is a significant selling that has happened, FIIs, which used to be roughly 22.5 percent of the overall marketcap, have now fallen to below 20.5 percent,” he pointed out.
He also said that the market is far more resilient this time compared to the 2008 financial crisis period. "This time, while the outflows are significant, the market is only down 15-16 percent from the peak,” he said.
As of May 31, the Nifty50 is down 4.5 percent for the year and 10.9 percent from its all-time high, and many experts have warned of overheated valuations in the market.
Upadhyaya sees a silver lining even in the current turmoil on the Street.
"If you look at India, from a 3-5-year perspective, clearly Indian earnings growth is likely to be in reasonable mid-teens. In line with that and if the valuations hold up, equities can still give you very handsome returns. That's what most retail investors are betting on,” he said.
Month | Net sale/purchase (in crore rupees) |
FII | DII |
April 2022 | -40,652.7 | 29,869.5 |
March | -43,281.3 | 39,677 |
February | -45,720.1 | 42,084.1 |
January | -41,346.4 | 21,928.4 |
December 2021 | -35,493.6 | 31,231.1 |
November | -39,901.9 | 30,560.3 |
October | -25,572.2 | 4,471 |
September | 913.8 | 5,948.9 |
August | -2,568.5 | 6,894.7 |
July | -23,193.4 | 18,393.9 |
June | -25.9 | 7,043.5 |
May | -6,015.3 | 2,067.2 |
April | -12,039.4 | 11,359.9 |
March | 1,245.2 | 5,204.4 |
February | 42,044.5 | -16,358.1 |
January | 8,980.8 | -11,970.5 |
December 2020 | 48,223.9 | -37,293.5 |
November | 65,317.1 | -48,319.2 |
October | 14,537.4 | -17,318.4 |
September | -11,410.7 | 1,38,612.1 |
August | 15,749.9 | 1,15,685 |
July | 2,490.2 | 1,11,011.4 |
June | 5,493 | 1,49,722.9 |
May | 13,914.5 | 1,42,062.9 |
April | -5,208.5 | 1,27,691.5 |
March | -65,816.7 | 2,20,721.2 |
First Published: May 30, 2022 2:00 PM IST