Oil up 1% despite crude build, as dollar weakens ahead of Fed rate move

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said crude stockpiles rose 1.1 million barrels during the week ended March 17.

”The big story here is that build … in crude, which is enough to get us to the 22-month high in crude oil storage. We just have a lot of crude oil in storage and it’s not going to go away anytime soon,” said Bob Yawger at Mizuho, a bank.

U.S. crude stockpiles have grown during 12 of the past 13 weeks, boosting inventories to their highest since May 2021.

Fed policy makers are scheduled to announce their interest rate decision at 2 p.m. EDT. The Fed has been raising rates to fight inflation but also wants to bolster financial stability following recent bank failures and bailouts that roiled markets.

Some investors expect the Fed to hike rates by just 25 basis points while some expect the central bank to pause its hiking cycle.

”It would be a big shock if the Fed reverted back to larger rate hikes now considering everything that’s happened this past couple of weeks,” said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA.

WTI and Brent prices last week fell to their lowest since 2021 on concern that banking sector turmoil could trigger a global recession and cut oil demand. An emergency rescue of Credit Suisse Group AG over the weekend helped revive oil prices.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies like Russia, a group known as OPEC+, is likely to stick to its deal on output cuts of 2 million barrels per day (bpd) until the end of the year, despite the plunge in crude prices, three delegates from the producer group told Reuters.