Ed Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, expects the US government to continue monitoring Bitcoin closely even after the US Securities and Exchange Commission, on January 10, approved the first US-listed exchange traded fund (ETF) to track the cryptocurrency.
"I think the government is kind of torn about what to do about Bitcoin. I think if they had their way they would prefer no cryptocurrencies at all. It's certainly a competition for the Fed, it certainly provides the payment system for illegal activities. And so I'm actually quite surprised that they've gone this far, in terms of, you know, basically saying, giving you their their blessings to to an ETF," he said in a conversation with CNBC-TV18.
The Securities and Exchange Commission, whose three-part mandate includes investor protection, authorized funds from industry heavyweights BlackRock, Invesco and Fidelity to smaller competitors including Valkyrie to begin trading Thursday, January 11.
Yardeni also discussed global financial trends, including the US Federal Reserve's interest rate policies and the performance of Asian markets.
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He anticipates no rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve until the second half of the year, contrary to market expectations of four to five cuts starting in March. He reasons that the Fed is likely to maintain its restrictive stance to avoid fueling a resurgence in inflation, given the economy's resilience.
On the Asian markets, Yardeni notes a significant divergence between China and India. He points out that funds that might have gone to China are now flowing to other Asian countries, attributing this shift to China's poor economic performance and regulatory environment. In contrast, India's freer economy and young demographic make it an attractive alternative for companies moving away from China.
Yardeni also notes the trend of onshoring, wherein companies are increasingly moving away from China in search of more favourable environments. Many businesses initially ventured into China attracted by its vast market but faced challenges due to a restrictive regulatory environment.
According to Yardeni, the Chinese economy's struggles have reshaped global perceptions, indicating that China is no longer considered a must-have investment among emerging markets.
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(Edited by : Shweta Mungre)