Rupee sinks below 80 mark to fresh record low against dollar
Rupee vs dollar forex rate today: The rupee sank below the 80 mark against the dollar for the first time in more than a month. A sell-off across equities, a surging dollar overseas and rising crude oil rates put pressure on the rupee.
By Sangam Singh Aug 29, 2022 4:27:16 PM IST (Updated)
Listen to the Article(6 Minutes)
2 Min Read
The rupee hit a record low of 80.08 against the US dollar on Monday amid a meltdown on Dalal Street tracking a global sell-off, a strengthening dollar overseas and rising oil prices.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell's more-hawkish-than-expected tone at his speech in the annual Jackson Hole symposium dashed nascent hopes of moderate increases in COVID-era interest rates to tame inflation. Powell signalled that interest rates would be kept higher for longer to bring down inflation.
The dollar scaled a 20-year peak against major peers. The dollar index — which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies — rose as much as 0.6 percent to 109.45.
Crude oil prices climbed on fears of reduced output from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies — together known as the OPEC Plus.
Brent crude futures rose 0.9 percent to $101.9 a barrel.
What to expect in the rupee going forward
One can expect the rupee to move within a range of 79.70-80.50 against the US dollar in the next 1-2 weeks, according to Anindya Banerjee, VP, Currency Derivatives & Interest Rate Derivatives at Kotak Securities.
"The RBI has the twin objective of not letting the rupee become a weak outlier and it does not want the USD-INR to become too volatile. This means it may continue to sell dollars as the spot and forwards move to fresh all-time highs."
"However, this may not alter the trajectory of the pair and the path of least resistance would remain upward," he added.
Vishnu Varathan of Mizuho Bank on CNBC-TV18 said that he expect a 50 bps rate hike by Fed in September and expect rupee to test between 80-81 against US dollar.