homeinformation technology NewsInfosys Q3 Results Preview: What to expect from the IT major today?

Infosys Q3 Results Preview: What to expect from the IT major today?

Given the usual seasonal weakness in the December quarter, CNBC-TV18 poll expects 1 percent QoQ constant-currency growth for Infosys in Q3.

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By Reema Tendulkar  Jan 10, 2020 7:51:59 AM IST (Updated)

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IT bellwether Infosys is all set to declare its December-quarter results on Friday. Usually, Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) kicks off the earnings season and is followed by Infosys, however, this time, the former's earnings announcement has been delayed as it awaits Supreme Court hearing in the Mistry case.

Here's what to expect from Infosys in Q3 of FY20:
Seasonality, weakness in finance and retail to weigh on sector
Given the usual seasonal weakness in the December quarter, CNBC-TV18 poll expects 1 percent QoQ constant-currency growth for Infosys in Q3. This will be lower than the 3.3 percent constant-currency revenue growth reported in Q2 and 2.7 percent constant-currency growth reported in the same quarter last year.
Management had guided for sluggishness in capital markets and weakness in European banking system which will impact banking and financial services sector.
On profitability, EBIT margins could expand by 50 -60 basis points despite weak growth and furloughs. One basis point is a hundredth of a percentage point. Improvement in margins will be led by the depreciation of rupee against USD and GBP and cost-efficiency measures. Profits could improve 4.5 percent sequentially to Rs 4,200 crore.
FY20 guidance
Infosys could look to marginally raise revenue growth guidance to 9.5 -10.5 percent vs 9-10 percent. The current guidance is seen conservative as the company needs 0.6 percent growth in Q3 and Q4 to meet upper end of the guidance. Infosys has periodically upped the revenue guidance with the firm guiding for 7.5-9.5 percent at the start of the year. FY20 margin guidance is seen unchanged at 21-23 percent. 
A quick glance at expectations (CNBC-TV18 poll)
  • $ revenue up 1.5% at $3258 million vs $3210 million
  • Rupee revenue up 2.5% at Rs 23,190 crore vs Rs 22,629 crore
  • EBIT at Rs 5,180 crore vs Rs 4,912 crore
  • EBIT (in %) at 22.34% vs 21.7%
  • PAT up 4.5% at Rs 4,200 crore vs Rs 4,019 crore
  • Investor attention
    • Investor focus is likely to be on the outcome of investigations into whistleblower complaints — the reason behind the stock underperforming peers like TCS by 14 percent in the last three months.
    • Focus on banking and financial services and retail sector will be crucial to understand whether the weakness will persist for more quarters.
    • Deal signing in Q2 was extremely strong at $2.8 billion. The investor would wait to see if that continues.
    • Attrition and comments around pricing and performance of top accounts will be tracked.
    • Client budgets and spending in the US election year.
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