The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has projected above normal rainfall, at over 122% of the Long Period Average (LPA) in February 2024 over North India, which comprises of the following 7 meteorological subdivisions: East Uttar Pradesh, West Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh.
Monthly rainfall over the entire country during February 2024 has been projected as "most likely" to be above normal, at over 119% of the LPA.
While normal to above normal rainfall is likely over most parts of Northwest, Northeast and Central India, below than normal rainfall is likely over most parts of south peninsular India.
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While 5 Western disturbances were recorded in January 2024, two western disturbances leading to rain are likely to impact northwest India during the next 5 days in quick succession.
A persistent layer of fog was also observed over North India from December 25, 2023, to January 30, 2024.
Monthly minimum temperatures during February are highly likely to remain above normal over most parts of India, and the monthly maximum temperatures are likely to be above normal over most parts of Northwest India, West central India and Northeast India, and some parts of East central India.
Normal to below-normal maximum temperatures are likely in most parts of peninsular India and some parts of East central India and isolated pockets over Northeast India.
Below-normal cold wave days are expected over some parts of Central India during February, even as January was characterised by more cold days and not cold waves.
The strong El Nino conditions prevailing over the Equatorial Pacific are likely to weaken steadily and turn to El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) neutral conditions by the end of the Northern Hemisphere's spring season this year.
(Edited by : Anand Singha)
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