homeeconomy NewsIndia achieves full recovery in pre pandemic output level in Q2 FY22, says FinMin

India achieves full recovery in pre-pandemic output level in Q2 FY22, says FinMin

India has achieved full recovery of pre-pandemic output level in the second quarter of the financial year 2021-22, the Ministry of Finance said in the monthly economic review report of November 2021. The recovery was driven by a revival in services, full-recovery in manufacturing and sustained growth in agriculture sectors, it said.

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By CNBCTV18.com Dec 11, 2021 12:32:49 PM IST (Updated)

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India achieves full recovery in pre-pandemic output level in Q2 FY22, says FinMin
India has achieved full recovery of pre-pandemic output level in the second quarter of the financial year 2021-22, the Ministry of Finance said in the monthly economic review report of November 2021.

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It said the real GDP in the second quarter of the current financial year has grown by 8.4 percent YoY, recovering over 100 percent of the pre-pandemic output in the corresponding quarter of FY 2019-20.
The report said India is among the few countries that have recorded growth in the four consecutive quarters amid COVID-19, the report said. The country recorded growth in Q3, Q4 of FY21 and Q1, Q2 of FY22, it said, adding that it reflects the resilience of the Indian economy.


"The recovery was driven by a revival in services, full-recovery in manufacturing and sustained growth in agriculture sectors," the report said. The recovery suggests "kick-starting of the investment cycle, supported by surging vaccination coverage and efficient economic management activating the macro and micro drivers of growth," it said.
Exports and investment rose over 17 and 1.5 percent, respectively, over the pre-pandemic levels, driving economic recovery from the demand side. Private consumption emerged as the macro growth driver for the economy, rising from 88 percent in the first quarter to 96 percent in the second.
On the supply side, the manufacturing and construction sectors aided the agriculture sector in driving growth. Both manufacturing and construction sectors surpassed their pre-pandemic levels.


"Reassuringly, GVA in trade, hotel, and communication services sharply improved from pre-[andemic recovery rate of 70 percent in Q1 to 90 percent in Q2, to become another emerging growth driver of the economy as contact-based services overcame the fear of the pandemic," the report said.
Outlook
The report said the recovery is expected to gain strength in the remaining quarters of the financial years. Over 19 of 22 high-frequency indicators (HFI) in September, October, and November 2021 crossed the pre-pandemic levels, as compared to the corresponding months in 2019.
However, the report said, the new variant of the coronavirus "may pose a fresh risk to the ongoing global recovery." Though it added, the variant is expected to be "less severe and more so with the increasing pace of vaccination in India," it said.


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