homeearnings NewsInfosys Q3: These are the key factors to watch out for in the quarter

Infosys Q3: These are the key factors to watch out for in the quarter

Infosys Q3: These are the key factors to watch out for in the quarter.

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By Reema Tendulkar  Jan 11, 2019 6:11:49 AM IST (Updated)

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The quarter ended December appears to be steady for Infosys. Strong deal wins in the first half of 2018-19 could partially offset the seasonal impact of furloughs in the US. According to a CNBC-TV18 poll, dollar revenue growth will be 1 percent quarter-on-quarter while sequential constant currency growth will be 1.5 percent.

The third quarter has historically been weak for Infosys. But revenue growth at constant currency rates (fixed exchange rate that eliminates fluctuations when calculating financial performance figures) this quarter is poised to improve.
Margins will decline quarter-on-quarter to 23.6 percent due to the investments made by the company in business  — measures to curb attrition and investments in digital — and transition costs in large deals, which will offset rupee depreciation benefits.
What will be most anticipated and watched will be the FY19 guidance. Brokerage houses such as CIMB, Ambit and Kotak expect Infosys to raise the lower end of the guidance so that FY19 constant currency guidance could be at 7-8 percent compared with 6-8 percent earlier.
Some brokerages such as Axis Capital and CLSA believe the company will retain its existing guidance. EBIT margin guidance of 22– 24 percent is likely to be maintained given the management is preparing for higher investments in the second half of 2018-19.
The company has also announced it will consider a special dividend and buyback when it meets for results on Friday. Given the capital allocation plan of Infosys, a $1.6-billion payout is expected.
Other factors to track will be the outlook on the budgets and expenditure for the 2019 calendar year. Accenture, a consultancy, had warned of moderation in client budget growth, the very high attrition rate of 22.3 percent as of September and whether the deal wins would continue (the first quarter at $2 billion and second quarter at $1.1 billion) and lastly, if the Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) spend is accelerating.
Below is a snapshot of the estimates of the December quarter earnings quarter-on-quarter, according to the CNBC-TV18 poll:
  • Dollar revenues to rise 1 percent at $2,950 million vs $2,921 million.
  • Rupee revenues to increase 2.4 percent at Rs 21,105 crore ore vs Rs 20,609 crore
  • EBIT at Rs 4,978 crore vs Rs 4,894 crore.
  • EBIT percent at 23.6 percent vs 23.7 percent.
  • PAT to rise 0.12 percent at Rs 4,115 crore vs Rs 4110 crore.
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