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Industry growth does not look rosy compared to the last 5 years: Maruti Suzuki

Maruti Suzuki reported very strong sales in December 2020, however, Shashank Srivastava, Executive Director of the auto major said that the sector's growth does not look rosy.

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By Parikshit Luthra  Jan 7, 2021 4:07:27 PM IST (Published)

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Maruti Suzuki reported very strong sales in December 2020, however, Shashank Srivastava, Executive Director of the auto major said that the sector's growth does not look rosy.

“We are all hoping and expecting that there is a bounce back after the lows that we saw in the first quarter. Having said that, if you compare over the previous year, then it doesn’t look as rosy a picture. If you see the period 2005 to 2010, the CAGR in the auto industry was about 12.9 percent. But if you look 2010-2015 the CAGR was just 5.9 percent and 2015 to 2020 the CAGR is 1.8-1.9 percent. So there seems to be a decline in the pace at which the growth has happened in the last 5 years,” he told CNBC-TV18.
Srivastava, however, expects to see good growth next year due to the low base effect.
“We will see a good growth in Q4 or next year because you have the low base kicking in.”
He said that the government should look at reducing acquisition costs and deferring corporate average fuel efficiency (CAFÉ) and phase II of BS-VI norms to 2024.
“I think anything which reduces the cost of acquisition in a growing economy where we have almost 50 percent of buyers as first time buyers, looking at the demographics of India, I think cost of acquisition is very important. Therefore while the industry has been asking for GST reduction, the government knows best. If there is no such possibility, then one possibility is the incentive linked scrappage scheme which the industry has been speaking of will help on the emission front as also on the demand for industry. The newer vehicles are much more fuel efficient and therefore there will be saving in fuel as well.”
The transition to BS-VI phase II might be too much for the industry, he said.
“We have just come off a huge investment in the transition from BS-IV to BS-VI and I think that is also partly passed on to the consumers by way of increase in prices. So another round of changes on CAFÉ as well BS-VI phase II might be too much for the industry. The cost will have to be passed on to the consumer which might impact the industry. So a deferment up to 2024 would be good because that would mean that the huge investments that the industry has made, we can adjust to this new cost and the new prices levels which we are seeing.”
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