Gujarat is poised for a direct electoral showdown between the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Congress-Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) alliance in the upcoming General Elections. While the saffron party eyes a third consecutive victory, the INDIA bloc, comprising the Congress and AAP, aims to disrupt the BJP's winning streak.
For the Congress, regaining lost ground in Gujarat poses a formidable challenge, especially in the absence of strong local leadership capable of taking on the Modi-Shah duo. As part of the INDIA bloc, the AAP has been allocated the Bharuch and Bhavnagar seats for contesting.
The Lok Sabha polls in Gujarat are scheduled for a single phase on May 7, with vote counting set for June 4. Here's a SWOT analysis of the political players:
Here is the SWOT analysis of the political parties:
Bharatiya Janata Party
| Strengths | Weaknesses |
| - Prime Minister Narendra Modi's star campaigner status | - Overreliance on PM Modi's charisma without strong local leadership |
| - Gujarat being Modi's home state | - Lack of a robust local leadership |
| - BJP's control over most local bodies | - Vulnerability to AAP's aggressive campaign targeting education and healthcare issues |
| Opportunities | Threats |
| - Weakening of the Congress, with several senior leaders defecting to the BJP | - Joint opposition alliance consolidating votes against the BJP |
| - Collaboration between opposition parties to prevent vote division | - Public dissatisfaction with former Congress leaders joining the BJP |
Congress
| Strengths | Weaknesses |
| - Collaboration with AAP to prevent vote division against the BJP | - Lack of strong local leadership |
| - Momentum gained from Rahul Gandhi's Bharat Jodo Nyay Yatra, particularly in tribal areas | - Disappointing performance in previous elections |
| - Absence of a localised agenda to counter the BJP's dominance in Gujarat |
| Opportunities | Threats |
| - A single victory in the Lok Sabha polls could bolster confidence for the Congress | - Overcoming PM Modi's strong connection with the state |
| - Leveraging the support base of AAP to strengthen the opposition coalition | - Departures of senior leaders weaken the party's organisational structure |
Aam Aadmi Party (AAP)
| Strengths | Weaknesses |
| - Focusing on education and healthcare issues to challenge the BJP | - Despite a vigorous campaign, AAP managed to win only five seats in the 2022 assembly polls |
| - Benefitting from Rahul Gandhi's yatra, energizing the party's support base in tribal areas | - Lack of strong leadership at the state level |
| |
| Opportunities | Threats |
| - Leveraging Congress's support base in Bharuch and Bhavnagar, with Bharuch being the home district of late Congress strategist Ahmed Patel | - Facing the formidable Modi-Shah alliance, presenting significant challenges |
| - Defections of AAP MLAs and party workers to the ruling BJP |
(Edited by : Akanksha Upadhyay)
