SP Tulsian of sptulsian.com, market expert Anand Tandon and Dhiraj Sachdev, managing partner and CIO at Roha Asset Managers shared their views and outlook on market fall and the sector/stocks they would place their bet on and spaces they would avoid.
“Consumption and financials are looking good. In financials, I will go with the big three-four banks HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank and State Bank of India (SBI). One can be little cautious on the non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) at this stage. On consumption side, Godrej Consumer Products, Colgate Palmolive (India) or Bata India have come to the good levels. Those who can venture out in a little aggression can look for Hindustan Unilever Ltd (HUL) and Nestle India as well,” said Tulsian.
“If you think that the market is at or near its low, I would argue that there is a reason to assume that as a normal correction this is about to over in which case it does make sense to start buying. However, I don’t believe that it is business as usual and therefore I would change the thesis away from what has worked so far. I would stay away from financials and consumers and buy everything else,” said Tandon.
With regards to crude, Tulsian said, “Everything is getting covered with coronavirus fear. US now seems to be in the forefront in spite of seeing the worst affected country being Italy, Iran and South Korea, we have been seeing the fears mounting up. If it hits the east coast of US then that will be seen creating further carnage."
"Meanwhile, the fall of the Brent to as low as USD 35 per barrel seems to be a big positive. Many of the sectors, tyre, aviation, paints will see taking a big positive and apart from that even the FY20 fiscal deficit can come under control and partly for Q1 of FY21 for the government as well. We have seen the worst of the growth for our country and once the gross domestic product (GDP) data of Q4 for China will come in, probably our data will look respectable. I am not too much worried and the fall of the Brent seems to be a big kicker, which eventually has to get factored in by the market once these coronavirus fears gets settled or subsides.”
Speaking about incremental money, Dhiraj Sachdev, Managing Partner and CIO of Roha Asset Managers said, “I am not worried about incremental money. I think these panic levels are ideally opportunities in disguise and mature investors would pump into such panics because we have realized time and again in the last 20 years that such mayhems and pessimisms are points of maximum opportunity. So, while the market is worried about global sell-off, crude oil fears, supply chain disruptions, COVID, etc. we do believe that these are panicky kind of reactions which are temporary in nature and over a period of time as the dust settles, things will come to normalised levels.”
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