homeeconomy NewsEconomic Survey 2021: What worked, what didn't

Economic Survey 2021: What worked, what didn't

The survey missed the real gross domestic product (GDP) forecast of 11 percent made for FY22. As per National Statistical Office (NSO), India is likely to grow at around 9.2 percent level this year.

By Sapna Das  Jan 31, 2022 9:28:44 AM IST (Updated)

The survey missed the real gross domestic product (GDP) forecast of 11 percent made for FY22. As per National Statistical Office (NSO), India is likely to grow at around 9.2 percent level this year. The survey also projected 15.4 percent nominal GDP growth, against this the NSO projects 17.6 percent expansion. This could mean that over 8 percent is the implicit inflation in these numbers.
This brings to the inflation commentary made by the survey - it said that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation will soften, which has happened. December CPI is around 5.59 percent levels, but the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) is way higher at over 13 percent in December. Maybe inflation was an important red flag that the survey missed and highlighted.
The survey also spoke about the national infra pipeline in helping economic recovery. However, during the current financial year, we do not know how much of the infra pipeline has been executed.