This brokerage firm thinks India's G20 presidency might aid Indian Hotels

Starting December 1, India will assume the presidency of the G20 until November 30, 2023, during which it is likely to host over 200 meetings in various capacities. The G20 Leaders' summit at the level of heads of state or government will be held between September 9 and 10, 2023.

Indian Hotels has been one of the prime beneficiaries of the "unlock" theme after operations were shuttered during the first two waves of the Covid-19 pandemic. The stock gained 60 percent in 2021 as well.

In June, the Taj Group hotel chain disclosed plans to restructure its portfolio under "Ahvaan 2025." Part of the plan was to scale the "Ginger" brand to 125 hotels, Ama Stays and Trails to be a portfolio of 500 and its culinary and home delivery business to expand to over 25 cities.

In a conversation with CNBC TV-18 last week, MD & CEO Puneet Chhatwal reiterated those targets, terming them as achievable. "Currently, our pipeline is north of 65 hotels with 180 in operation. And that's why the target of 300 hotels or 500 homestays is very much realistic over the next four years,” he said. Chhatwal also expects rates to continue to rise amid limited supply while average room rates are also holding up.

Jefferies corroborates Chhatwal's statement by saying that the run rate of occupancies and average room rates are comfortably strong. The trends of leisure demand that picked up post-Covid have sustained, according to the brokerage.

Increased EBITDA estimates by 14-19 percent

Increased occupancy assumptions by 100-200 basis points

Increased assumptions on average room rates by 8-10 percent

Shares of Indian Hotels are down 4.6 percent at Rs 311.70. The stock is among the top five gainers on the Nifty Midcap index this year.